Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 5.086740 5.719489 6.410261 7.221967 8.151692 9.185667 10.425907
2024-12-29 4.289671 5.155802 6.175128 7.469757 9.079399 11.026626 13.578405
2025-01-05 3.675503 4.639340 5.838519 7.453326 9.590968 12.351600 16.231866
2025-01-12 3.222370 4.229278 5.539175 7.388885 9.967032 13.482873 18.726345
2025-01-19 2.751506 3.725319 5.038201 6.964727 9.765440 13.760463 20.021341
2025-01-26 2.519286 3.511416 4.894548 6.999300 10.184670 14.929698 22.734230
2025-02-02 2.383855 3.414148 4.896388 7.230977 10.902554 16.605301 26.437638
2025-02-09 2.241954 3.290013 4.841075 7.361496 11.466876 18.093776 30.031963
2025-02-16 2.109457 3.165253 4.768877 7.450968 11.964784 19.519213 33.706360
2025-02-23 1.990831 3.049634 4.697204 7.528343 12.442258 20.954051 37.590549
2025-03-02 1.825759 2.846043 4.466561 7.316170 12.394749 21.456993 39.796558
2025-03-09 1.705249 2.704077 4.322808 7.234865 12.562980 22.357133 42.885476
2025-03-16 1.591159 2.566587 4.179568 7.148485 12.726917 23.295792 46.259402
2025-03-23 1.553181 2.553788 4.246366 7.443620 13.635727 25.781073 53.292015
2025-03-30 1.469155 2.454998 4.154924 7.437691 13.962329 27.148116 58.117330
2025-04-06 1.384429 2.348309 4.040251 7.375549 14.167716 28.286824 62.610745
2025-04-13 1.255492 2.153836 3.752171 6.952668 13.592527 27.697383 62.913080
2025-04-20 1.201037 2.090200 3.699586 6.987261 13.972391 29.230999 68.668621
2025-04-27 1.176259 2.078998 3.743544 7.218506 14.796060 31.864605 77.704124
2025-05-04 1.140219 2.043977 3.738943 7.348774 15.412044 34.100928 86.130908
2025-05-11 1.101699 2.001435 3.716180 7.438072 15.944792 36.209951 94.628667
2025-05-18 1.064355 1.958523 3.689220 7.515296 16.457505 38.339151 103.620476
2025-05-25 0.999010 1.856582 3.536456 7.303538 16.262666 38.652106 107.285358